📈 BTC 4-Year Cycle

Understanding Bitcoin's halving cycles and where we are now

Next Halving Countdown

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Days
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Hours
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Minutes
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Seconds
Estimated Date: ~April 2028

Days Since Last Halving

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Apr 20, 2024

Current Cycle Phase

Markdown
Post-peak decline

Cycle Progress

~45% Complete

Halving Timeline

First Halving
Nov 28, 2012 • Block 210,000
Block reward: 50 → 25 BTC
ROI to peak: +9,400%
$12.20
Pre-halving
Second Halving
Jul 9, 2016 • Block 420,000
Block reward: 25 → 12.5 BTC
ROI to peak: +2,850%
$650
Pre-halving
Third Halving
May 11, 2020 • Block 630,000
Block reward: 12.5 → 6.25 BTC
ROI to peak: +680%
$8,800
Pre-halving
Fourth Halving (CURRENT)
Apr 20, 2024 • Block 840,000
Block reward: 6.25 → 3.125 BTC
Current ATH: ~$126,000 (Oct 2025)
Now in Markdown Phase
$73,000
Pre-halving
~$126,000
Cycle Peak (Oct 2025)
Fifth Halving (PROJECTED)
~Apr 2028 • Block 1,050,000
Block reward: 3.125 → 1.5625 BTC
~1,050 days remaining
???
Projection

Historical ROI Table

Cycle Halving Price Cycle Peak ROI to Peak Time to Peak
2012-2016 $12.20 $1,163 +9,400% 367 days
2016-2020 $650 $19,783 +2,850% 518 days
2020-2024 $8,800 $69,000 +680% 549 days
2024-2028 $73,000 $126,000 +73% ~170 days

Cycle Phases

1. Bear Market
Post-halving correction
~1-1.5 years
2. Recovery
Accumulation phase
~6 months
3. Bull Run
Price discovery
~1 year
4. Euphoria
Peak & correction
~6 months
📉
Current Phase: Markdown
Post-peak decline toward cycle bottom. Peak of ~$126,000 reached Oct 2025. Cycle bottom expected before 2028 halving.